There has been a lot of speculation that clean energy might be the next Biotechnology or Internet revolution. While I think this would be great, lets’ explore some of the hurdles- that VC and clean energy business models might not mesh well – that we might need other funding sources. Here are a few observations:
1) The Amount of Capital Needed
Starting a clean energy company can be extremely expensive and out of reach of the normal $300M VC fund. For example, Solyndra, a photovoltaic company has raised close to $1.5B in equity and debt financing.
2) The Payback does not justify the Risk.
Most clean energy companies require the construction of commercial plants for energy production, which may or may not be successful. This can be extremely capital intensive, as mention above, and have not defined exits strategy
3) Lack of Exit Options
Investments in clean energy companies are extremely illiquid. Most VC Funds are set up on a 5 to 7-year model. It could take longer than that to build and test the commercial viability of most new clean energy plants. Additionally clearly developed eco-system where incumbents buy promising startups has yet to develop in the sector (think Apple, Microsoft, & Cisco).
4)Managerial Experience.
The three important factors for determining an investment in VC are 1) Management 2) Management and 3) Management. In the clean energy sector most of the entrepreneurs come from large companies, primarily utilities. They lack the experience in starting an early stage company, thus adding to the risk.
5) Energy is a Regulated Commodity
The price of energy is regulated in some markets. As the cost of inputs rises, the profit margins shrink adding one more risk to commercializing a new technology.
So if Venture Capital cant fund clean energy, who will? Will VC’s change their model like Element Partners and the Potomac Energy Fund ? Will large strategics step in like DuPont’s bet in bio-fuels? Will the governments provide financing or incentives?
Why VC and Clean Energy Might Not Mix
November 4, 2010There has been a lot of speculation that clean energy might be the next Biotechnology or Internet revolution. While I think this would be great, lets’ explore some of the hurdles- that VC and clean energy business models might not mesh well – that we might need other funding sources. Here are a few observations:
1) The Amount of Capital Needed
Starting a clean energy company can be extremely expensive and out of reach of the normal $300M VC fund. For example, Solyndra, a photovoltaic company has raised close to $1.5B in equity and debt financing.
2) The Payback does not justify the Risk.
Most clean energy companies require the construction of commercial plants for energy production, which may or may not be successful. This can be extremely capital intensive, as mention above, and have not defined exits strategy
3) Lack of Exit Options
Investments in clean energy companies are extremely illiquid. Most VC Funds are set up on a 5 to 7-year model. It could take longer than that to build and test the commercial viability of most new clean energy plants. Additionally clearly developed eco-system where incumbents buy promising startups has yet to develop in the sector (think Apple, Microsoft, & Cisco).
4)Managerial Experience.
The three important factors for determining an investment in VC are 1) Management 2) Management and 3) Management. In the clean energy sector most of the entrepreneurs come from large companies, primarily utilities. They lack the experience in starting an early stage company, thus adding to the risk.
5) Energy is a Regulated Commodity
The price of energy is regulated in some markets. As the cost of inputs rises, the profit margins shrink adding one more risk to commercializing a new technology.
So if Venture Capital cant fund clean energy, who will? Will VC’s change their model like Element Partners and the Potomac Energy Fund ? Will large strategics step in like DuPont’s bet in bio-fuels? Will the governments provide financing or incentives?